Monday, July 15, 2013

Economic Stories of Relevance in Today's World -- July 14, 2013

Inflation Is Too Low? Are You Kidding Us Bernanke? - The Economic Collapse Blog - Michael Snyder - July 11th, 2013 - Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said this week that inflation in the United States needs to be higher.  Yes, he actually came right out and said that.  It almost seems as if Bernanke is trying to purposely hurt the middle class.  On Wednesday, Bernanke told the press that "both sides of our mandate are saying we need to be more accommodative".  Of course he was referring to the Fed's dual mandate to keep unemployment and inflation low, but Bernanke has a very unique interpretation of that mandate.  According to Bernanke, inflation in the U.S. is now "too low".  The official inflation rate is currently sitting at about 1 percent, and Bernanke insists that such a low rate of inflation is not good for the economy.  He would prefer that the rate of inflation be up around 2 percent, and he is hoping that more "monetary accommodation" will help push inflation up and the unemployment rate down.                       But what Bernanke will never admit is that the official inflation rate is a total sham.  The way that inflation is calculated has changed more than 20 times since 1978, and each time it has been changed the goal has been to make it appear to be lower than it actually is.                           If the rate of inflation was still calculated the way that it was back in 1980, it would be about 8 percent right now and everyone would be screaming about the fact that inflation is way too high.....                          Electricity bills in the United States have risen faster than the overall rate of inflation for five years in a row, and according to USA Today water bills have actually tripled over the past 12 years in some areas of the country.....                           
And over time, those increases really add up.  An article by Benny Johnson details how the prices of many of the things that we buy on a regular basis absolutely soared between 2002 and 2012.  Just check out these price increases...                Eggs: 73%                   Coffee: 90%                Peanut Butter: 40%                      Milk: 26%                   A Loaf Of White Bread: 39%                          Spaghetti And Macaroni: 44%                         Orange Juice: 46%                      Red Delicious Apples: 43%                          Beer: 25%                          Wine: 60%                     Electricity: 42%                  Margarine: 143%                      Tomatoes: 22%                      Turkey: 56%                        Ground Beef: 61%                          Chocolate Chip Cookies: 39%
(Comment from K on this article -       I assure you they are trying to hurt the middle class, and the poor as well. Step 1.Spy on everyone, until you know enough to be able to control many. 2. When gun controls does not work, control the flow of ammo, until most people give up even trying to find any.3.Make out of work people so reliant on the Government, they will not dare to raise a finger in protest. 4 Work the remaining workers to death. Squeeze them so hard they need 2 or 3 jobs to make ends meet. A totally exhausted citizen, is a compliant citizen. It is all about control, and the noose is getting tighter every day.)        


On The Economy: Inflation Accelerates; Fed Rumors Rise - NPR.org - Mark Memmott - July 12, 2013 - Reuters the overall increase in wholesale prices was "more than expected" and may be a sign that the economy is picking up speed — which in turn could mean that the Federal Reserve will soon feel it can stop trying to give the economy a boost.                     — The Fed. that "former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers is indicating to President Barack Obama's Wall Street supporters that he wants to become Federal Reserve chairman, according to people familiar with the matter, as he keeps in touch with senators who would vote on the nomination."                 Summers was Treasury secretary in the later years of the Clinton administration, and was a top economic adviser to President Obama during his first term in office.                       Bernanke's second term as chairman expires Jan. 31, 2014. It's and that President Obama will be looking for a new person to lead the central bank.


A Temp Service Is America’s 2nd-Biggest Employer
- Conservative Musings - Ben Bullard - July 9, 2013 - It’s a great time to be a temporary or part-time employee in America. But it’s a terrible time to have a full-time job or a job that tasks you with making anything — except, maybe, burgers and tacos.                        That’s one takeaway from last week’s June jobs report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, which revealed that Kelly Services, an international temporary staffing agency based in Michigan, is the Nation’s second-largest employer behind a company well known for its heavy dependence on part-time employees: Wal-Mart.                   Between temp firms like Kelly and volume retail/service companies like Wal-Mart, McDonald’s, Kroger and Target, about 85 percent of the jobs held by Americans are either temporary assignments or low-wage, part-time positions. The Administration of President Barack Obama hailed the jobs report as a signifier of successful White House economic policy, ignoring the fact that the net gain in jobs for the month of June represented a massive shift in the American labor force from full-time jobs (which fell dramatically) to part-time work.                   Writing for The Washington Examiner, Ashe Schow notes the June report isn’t a mere workforce aberration brought on by a glut of teenagers looking for summer work:
Temp jobs made up about 10 percent of the jobs lost during the Great Recession, but now make up a tenth of the jobs in the United States. In fact, nearly one-fifth of all jobs gained since the recession ended have been temporary.
It’s a sad state of affairs for our country. While part-time and temp jobs reached highs last month, full-time jobs decreased by another 240,000. The recovery, or lack thereof, is being fueled by a shift from full-time to part-time work.
Further buttressing the mounting evidence that the Obama-led “recovery” has only accelerated a gradual U.S. trend away from actually making tangible goods (i.e., heavy manufacturing) and toward an service-oriented marketplace where the value of everything’s ephemeral, The New York Times created an infographic last year showing that service industries make up nine of the top 10 biggest American employers in the 21st century, compared with the 1960s, when seven of the top 10 were manufacturers like GM, Ford, U.S. Steel and General Electric.                  Is it any coincidence that one-third of Americans — a number greater than the entire private sector workforce population in the United States — is now on food stamps?


Why underemployment may be worse than it looks - USA Today - Jeff Cox, CNBC.com - July 14, 2013 - The level of underemployed workers looks bad on its face but even worse when it's not the government doing the counting.                      When the Labor Department released its monthly non-farm jobs report Friday, it was all sunshine and roses except for one glaring weakness: A big jump in the unemployment rate that includes those who have quit working as well as those who have had to take part-time jobs even though they'd rather work full time.                     That rate, which economists call the U-6, jumped from 13.8% in May to 14.3% in June—a 3.6% increase and indicative that the 195,000 new jobs created in the month weren't exactly of the highest caliber.
But what often doesn't get as much attention is the monthly labor count that the experts at Gallup conduct.                          According to the pollster's results, the underemployment situation is even worse.                        Gallup reports that 17.2% of the workforce is underemployed, a startling number compounded by its divergence from the government's count. While the rate is down from the 20.3% peak in March 2010, it has remained maddeningly high over the past three years even as economists tout the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.                   From a broader perspective, the Gallup measure actually has increased from its 15.9% multi-year low in October 2012....


U.S. June budget surplus $117 billion: Treasury - MarketWatch - Robert Schroeder - July 11, 2011 - The U.S. federal government ran a budget surplus of $117 billion in June, the Treasury Department reported Thursday, as receipts rose and spending fell compared to the same month a year ago. For the fiscal year to date, the deficit is $510 billion, 44% less than the shortfall recorded in the same period last year, thanks mostly to increased revenue . The government's receipts totaled $287 billion in June, and spending was $170 billion. In June last year, the government posted a deficit of $60 billion. The government's fiscal year runs from October to September.


Drivers, get ready for a gas price spike - CNN Money - Aaron Smith - July 11, 2013 - Prices of oil and gasoline futures have increased sharply in July, according to Gasbuddy.com chief oil analyst Tom Kloza. And these prices will inevitably be passed on to consumers in the coming weeks.                    The price of unleaded gasoline could jump by at least 25 cents per gallon in August, said oil trader Dan Dicker, author of "Oil's Endless Bid."                      In the last two weeks, gas futures jumped to $3.01 per gallon, an increase of more than 10%. And oil prices have surged more than 10% over the last month.


Kroger to buy Harris Teeter for about $2.44B - expand store base while reducing costs - Associated Press through Yahoo - Bree Fowler - July 9, 2013 - Kroger, the country's largest traditional supermarket operator, said Tuesday that it has agreed to buy Harris Teeter Supermarkets Inc. for about $2.44 billion in cash, boosting its presence in key southeastern and mid-Atlantic markets.                       Under the terms of the agreement, Cincinnati-based Kroger will pay $49.38 for each of the supermarket chain's shares. The price represents a 2 percent increase over the company's Monday closing stock price.                     "This is a financially and strategically compelling transaction and a unique opportunity for our shareholders and associates," Kroger Chairman and CEO David Dillon said in a statement.                       The deal has been approved by both companies' boards, but remains subject to Harris Teeter shareholder approval. Harris Teeter announced in February that it was exploring strategic alternatives, including a possible sale.
Harris Teeter operates 212 stores in eight southeastern and mid-Atlantic states and Washington D.C., along with a pair of distribution centers and a dairy facility in North Carolina. Its fiscal 2012 revenue totaled about $4.5 billion.                  In comparison, Kroger operates 2,419 stores in 31 states. In addition to its flagship brand of supermarkets, it also owns Ralphs, Fry's, Food 4 Less and other brands. The acquisition adds another three states to its store footprint.


Karl Denninger ~ Setting Up for a Financial Collapse Worse than 1929


Friday, July 12, 2013

Inspiring Spaces Presentation - July 9, 2013



Statement from the City of Hickory administration about the Inspiring Spaces Project:


In 2011, the Hickory City Council visited leaders from five southeastern cities to learn how those communities are successfully transitioning to new economic realities. The themes emerging from the success stories included the importance of public investment in the public spaces of their city, the benefit of private/public partnerships, focusing on economic development and redevelopment, providing venues and programming for outstanding special events, and engaging the philanthropic community for their support of activities and projects that will enhance the city.
Since those visits, the City of Hickory has been working with Land Design to develop a comprehensive list of projects that will improve the appearance of Hickory. This plan is called Inspiring Spaces, which will help to chart the course for improvements in the public spaces that will bring about revitalization in many areas of Hickory.

 Inspiring Spaces Documents

Monday, July 8, 2013

Economic Stories of Relevance in Today's World -- July 7, 2013

Have Central Bankers Lost Control? Could The Bond Bubble Implode Even If There Is No Tapering? - The Economic Collapse Blog - July 4, 2013 - Are the central banks of the world starting to lose control of the financial markets?  Could we be facing a situation where the bond bubble is going to inevitably implode no matter what the central bankers do?  For the past several years, the central bankers of the planet have been able to get markets to do exactly what they want them to do.  Stock markets have soared to record highs, bond yields have plunged to record lows and investors have literally hung on every word uttered by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and other prominent central bankers.  In the United States, it has been remarkable what Bernanke has been able to accomplish.  The U.S. government has been indulging in an unprecedented debt binge, the Fed has been wildly printing money, and the real rate of inflation has been hovering around 8 to 10 percent, and yet Bernanke has somehow convinced investors to lend gigantic piles of money to the U.S. government for next to nothing.  But this irrational state of affairs is not going to last indefinitely.  At some point, investors are going to wake up and start demanding higher returns.  And we are already starting to see this happen in Japan.  Wild money printing has actually caused bond yields to go up.  What a concept!  And that is what should happen - when central banks recklessly print money it should cause investors to demand a higher return.  But if bond investors all over the globe start acting rationally, that is going to cause the largest bond bubble in the history of the planet to burst, and that will create utter devastation in the financial markets.                     Central banks can manipulate the financial system in the short-term, but there is usually a tremendous price to pay for the distortions that are caused in the long-term.                In Bernanke's case, all of this quantitative easing seemed to work well for a while.  The first round gave the financial system a nice boost, and so the Fed decided to do another.  The second round had less effect, but it still boosted stocks and caused bond yields to go down.  The third round was supposed to be the biggest of all, but it had even less of an effect than the second round.  If you doubt this, just check out the charts in this article.                 Our financial system has become addicted to this financial "smack".  But like any addict, the amount needed to get the same "buzz" just keeps increasing.  Unfortunately, the more money that the Fed prints, the more distorted our financial system becomes.                      The only way that this is going to end is with a tremendous amount of pain.  There is no free lunch, and there are already signs that investors are starting to wake up to this fact.                      As investors wake up, they are going to realize that this bond bubble is irrational and entirely unsustainable.  Once the race to the exits begins, it is not going to be pretty.  In fact, the are indications that the race to the exits has already begun...


Breaking News–Today’s Job Report - Paul Craig Roberts - July 5, 2013 - Do you remember the promise of the New Economy that was going to replace the lost “dirty fingernail” manufacturing jobs with innovative highly paid New Economy jobs? Well, the promise was just another deception from the elites who have stolen Americans’ future.                    For the umpteenth consecutive month and year, the June BLS payroll jobs report (released on July 5) shows that the US economy has created no such jobs. The same old tired categories account for the same old lowly paid new domestic service jobs.                      Of the 195,000 new private sector jobs alleged to have been created, 75,000 or 38% are accounted for by the category “leisure and hospitality.” Within this category there were 52,000 new waitresses and bartenders, and 19,000 jobs in “amusements gambling, and recreation.”             Retail trade added 37,000 employees. Is your local shopping center that busy?                   Wholesale trade added 11,000.                         Zero Hedge points out that the retail and wholesale jobs numbers seem inconsistent with the latest report from the Institute of Supply Management, which shows a sharp drop in new order components and business activity. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-07-03/non-manufacturing-ism-crashes-lowest-february-2010-new-orders-devastated-july-2009-l Perhaps the New Economy’s inefficiency requires more people to sell less.                     Professional and business services added, allegedly, 53,000 jobs, which are largely building management services, janitors, employment services, and temporary help.              Ambulatory health care services added 13,000 jobs.                       Financial activities allegedly added 17,000 jobs despite the Bank of America moving its property appraisals to India. http://www.bizjournals.com/charlotte/blog/morning-edition/2013/07/bank-of-america-routing-property.html?ana=lnk                         Local government, despite severe budget cuts, added 13,000 jobs.                     The BLS news release points out that the number of involuntary part-time workers (the number of people who are unable to find full-time jobs or whose hours were cut back) increased by 322,000 in June to 8.2 million.                     This deplorable report provided the cover for the market riggers to take the stock market up and the gold market down. Remember that economic theory about “rational markets”? Another deception.


Wonder why America is failing?  53 percent of all American workers make less than $30,000 a year - Social Security Online - (Check out the Stats)



The American Middle Class Under Stress - Sherle R. Schwenninger and Samuel Sherraden - New America Foundation - April 2011

Wages and Salaries as a percentage of GDP



There are fewer Americans working in manufacturing today than there were in 1950 even though the population of the country has more than doubled since then.  The United States has lost more than 56,000 manufacturing facilities since 2001, and the bought off politicians and Wall Street types keep pushing to offshore jobs.



Only 47% of Adults Have Full-Time Job - Breitbart - Mike Flynn - July 5, 2013 - The release of the June Jobs' Report Friday was something of a relief for the markets. The Labor Department reported that the economy gained 195,000 jobs in June, which beat economists' expectations. The Department also reported that the economy gained 70,000 more jobs in April and May than it originally estimated. The report, however, also provides clear evidence that the the nation is splitting into two; only 47% of Americans have a full-time job and those who don't are finding it increasingly out of reach.                       Of the 144 million Americans employed last month, only 116 million were working full-time. Friday's report showed that 58.7% of the civilian adult population of 245 million was working last month. Only 47% of Americans, however, had a full-time job.                     The market's positive reaction to Friday's report is another sign of how far our economic expectations have fallen. If today the same proportion of Americans worked as just a decade ago, there would be almost 9 million more people working. Just in the last year, almost 2 million Americans have left the labor force. With a majority of the population not holding a full-time job, it isn't surprising that economic growth has been so weak.




Obamacare Strikes: Part-Time Jobs Surge To All Time High; Full-Time Jobs Plunge By 240,000 - Zero Hedge - Tyler Durden - July 5, 2013 - As a reminder: jobs have quantity and quality components. The quantity component was good enough to convince the 10 Year the taper is imminent (if not stocks, which continue to trade dislocated from any and all fundamentals). But how about the quality? In a word: not good. In June, the household survey reported that part-time jobs soared by 360,000 to 28,059,000 - an all time record high. Full time jobs? Down 240,000.  And looking back at the entire year, so far in 2013, just 130K Full-Time Jobs have been added, offset by a whopping 557K Part-Time jobs. And there is your jobs "quality" leading to today's market euphoria (if only for now).




06-06-13 - Macro Analytics - Coming cRACK uP BOOM = w/ John Rubino 


Sunday, July 7, 2013

Conflict of Interest Documents from the HDR article of July 7, 2013

The following are the conflict of Interest Documents that are mentioned in the Hickory Daily Record article of July 7, 2013 entitled - Conflict-of-interest questions raised about two members of Hickory City Council - John Tinklenberg

Conflict of Interest Documentation:
https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B4C4lvVyAYFlQk4tRVFIMVNXRVE/edit?usp=sharing

I want you to look at these documents and see how slipshod they were filled out and how incomplete these statements are. There really has been no oversight of these records or the process. Information was asked to be provided up through present (July 1, 2012 at the time requested a couple months ago). As you will see, the info provided only ran through July 1, 2008. Who will hold anyone accountable should violations occur. Don't expect the City Manager to do anything. He serves at the pleasure of the City Council.

And that Parking Deck Fund that is mentioned, the City Council and City Administration have been misappropriating that fund - read it for yourself below.  As section one states, this money is set aside for funding future parking facility Capital project needs. This fund was created to increase Parking Capacity and address its issues, not for building canopies on the Square or whatever other whims and fancies the Council and staff see to.


Saturday, July 6, 2013

CEG Letter to Editor in response to HDR opinion on Transparency - Joe Brannock - July 6, 2013

More transparency needed, Hickory - As printed in the Hickory Daily Record - July 6, 2013

No, Hickory Daily Record, you do not really hear us. Clearly, Citizens for Equity in Government and the newspaper agree that governmental transparency is important, even crucial if elected officials and those who work for them are to be prop­erly held accountable. But just as clearly, the HDR seems to think that the burden for ensuring transpar­ency and accountability rests on the shoulders of the people, not the elected officials or the city staff whom we the people pay through our tax dollars. In this regard, you sound very much like some on the City Council and the city manager.

Instead of encouraging, indeed expecting government to do everything feasible and prudent to enhance public access to the ac­tions the Council takes, you blame the people for being apathetic. You argue that “there is no shortage of access.” However, have you consid­ered that not everyone can afford
to subscribe to the newspaper, or that not everyone has access to a computer? Have you considered that even for those who can afford the HDR, only reading your version of what happened in a meeting is not the same as seeing it for themselves?

Had Citizens for Equity in Gov­ernment not urged the council to video tape its proceedings, there is no evidence to suggest that the city would have ever made even one video to put on its website. Now we must ask (because the HDR hasn’t) why they feel it is necessary to de­lete the video after only two weeks. These videos may not be the official minutes of a meeting, but they are public documents and part of the public record. And as we under­stand it, because the city already has an agreement with Charter Cable for access to the government channel, there should not be an extra cost for airing the videos. It is
also worth mentioning how the city had no problems with airing the forum at the SALT Block during the referendum debate on cable when it served their purposes.

Citizens for Equity in Govern­ment agrees with all of the positive suggestions the HDR makes in its editorial.

Indeed, we have been doing just what you suggest for over two years, and we will continue to do so. We also encourage other residents to do so as well.

But whether a council meeting is entertaining or not is irrelevant. We are not looking for a “show,” as your headline implies, simply the great­est degree of transparency feasible, provided to as many residents as possible about how the people’s elected representatives are doing their jobs. We don’t think that is too much to ask.


JOE BRANNOCK