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Sunday, March 16, 2025

An All-American City Deserves First-Class Leadership - a Redux to 2025

"Hickory’s heartbeat is its people—have we built a future worth believing in?"

 An All-American CityDeserves First-Class Leadership -
Originally published as a Guest Column in the Hickory Daily Record on July 15, 2007

 

The Hound:

Here’s a 4-minute summary of my latest article for the Hickory Hound Blog. I teamed up with X’s Grok and ChatGPT, tapping the web’s vast resources to break down the piece, add fresh insights, and dive deep into what it means for us. I’m all in on this to strip out bias and bring you the real scoop—Hickory’s future, unfiltered. AI does the heavy lifting so you get facts, not fluff. Ready to see where this takes us?

 

(From Grok) - Thank you for sharing your editorial from 2007, republished in 2008. It’s a passionate piece that reflects your deep connection to Hickory and your frustration with its leadership and economic trajectory at the time. Reading it now, nearly 18 years later in March 2025, offers an interesting lens to evaluate how your observations and critiques hold up, as well as how Hickory—and broader societal trends—may have evolved. Let’s break it down and reflect on its relevance today.

 What Grok Thinks of the Piece

Your editorial is a raw, unfiltered call to action, grounded in a mix of personal experience and economic analysis. It’s clear you care deeply about Hickory, and your frustration with what you saw as shortsighted, cliquish leadership comes through loud and strong. The piece effectively highlights the economic challenges of the time—over-reliance on fiber-optics, the decline of traditional manufacturing, and the failure to pivot to new industries. You also touch on immigration, urban development priorities, and the disconnect between leadership and the average citizen, which gives it a broad scope.

Stylistically, it’s direct and conversational, with a bit of sarcasm that adds personality (e.g., “How many t-shirts have you read today?”). It’s not a polished policy paper, but it’s not meant to be—it’s a citizen’s plea for change, and that authenticity is its strength. At times, the generalizations (e.g., “99% of us don’t care about downtown”) might weaken your argument by oversimplifying, but they also amplify your voice as someone fed up with the status quo.

How It Translates to 2025

 Looking at your editorial from today’s vantage point, some themes feel timeless, while others have likely shifted due to economic, social, and technological changes. Let’s explore how it relates to now:

 

1. Economic Stagnation and Diversification
In 2007, you lamented Hickory’s reliance on a fading manufacturing base and the fallout from the fiber-optic bust. You called for new industries like alternative energy and biotech. Nearly two decades later, the global economy has indeed shifted toward renewable energy, biotech, and tech-driven industries. If Hickory’s leadership heeded calls like yours, it might have courted solar manufacturers, wind tech firms, or even medical research startups by now. Nationally, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 poured billions into clean energy, so places like Hickory could have ridden that wave. Did they? Without specific data (I’d need to search for Hickory’s current economic profile to confirm), I’d wager the city has made some progress—perhaps in logistics or advanced manufacturing, given its location—but it’s unlikely to have fully transformed into a biotech hub. Your point about ending excuses and showing results still resonates if Hickory remains a mid-tier player compared to thriving metros like Charlotte.

 

2. Leadership and Priorities
Your critique of city council members’ “pet projects” and “high school clique mentalities” taps into a universal frustration with local governance. In 2025, with social media amplifying public scrutiny, leaders are arguably more accountable—but also more prone to performative gestures. Are Hickory’s current leaders still fixated on symbolic issues (t-shirts, dirt hills) over substance? Your call for “first-class leadership” feels just as relevant today, especially in an era where economic inequality and infrastructure needs dominate national discourse. The downtown vs. suburban divide you highlighted might still be a tension point—many cities continue to wrestle with revitalizing urban cores while neglecting sprawling suburbs.

 

3. Immigration and Jobs
Your comments on illegal immigration and low-wage jobs reflect a specific 2007 anxiety—post-9/11 security concerns mixed with economic competition. By 2025, the immigration debate has evolved. Border security remains a hot topic, but the labor market has tightened, with many industries (construction, agriculture) still relying on immigrant workers, legal or not. Automation has also eaten into low-skill jobs, so the textile and furniture roles you mentioned may be even scarcer now. Your underlying question—“What does that say for the security of our city?”—might now extend beyond immigration to cybersecurity or economic resilience in a globalized world.

 

4. Downtown Development
Your disdain for funneling money into downtown Hickory is a standout critique. In 2007-2008, this reflected a suburban identity clashing with urban nostalgia. By 2025, the “downtown revitalization” trend has either succeeded or fizzled in many small cities. If Hickory doubled down on Union Square, it might now boast a vibrant arts scene or boutique economy—or it could be a ghost town if your “99% don’t care” prediction held true. Nationally, remote work and e-commerce have reshaped how people use urban spaces, so your push to invest in neglected suburban areas might feel prescient.

 

5. The All-American City Label
Your skepticism about the designation as a “bureaucratic marketing tool” still lands in 2025. Awards like these remain feel-good PR stunts for many municipalities, often masking deeper challenges. If Hickory’s won it again since 2007, it’d be worth asking: has the city’s quality of life truly improved, or is it still coasting on optics?

 Broader Relevance Today

 Your piece captures a moment of transition—post-industrial decline, pre-Great Recession unease—that mirrors today’s anxieties about AI, climate change, and globalization. The call for “real, meaningful jobs” echoes louder in 2025, as gig work and temp agencies have only grown, while stable, well-paying roles remain elusive for many. Your push for forward-thinking industries aligns with current buzz around green tech and innovation hubs. And your frustration with insular, out-of-touch leadership? That’s practically a universal sentiment in an age of populist discontent.

 

What’s Changed Since 2007?

· The Great Recession: Just months after your editorial, the 2008 crash hit, likely amplifying Hickory’s woes. Recovery patterns would’ve shaped the last 18 years more than the fiber-optic bust alone.

· Technology: Broadband’s ubiquity by 2025 might’ve offered Hickory a second chance at tech-driven growth—did it seize it?

· Demographics: Aging populations and migration (to or from Hickory) could’ve shifted priorities.

· Political Climate: National polarization might’ve trickled down, making local governance even more contentious.

 

The Deep Dive - Bringing It All Together

Your editorial was a sharp, prescient jab at Hickory’s complacency, and its core message—demand better leadership, prioritize economic vitality—holds up in 2025. It’s a snapshot of a city at a crossroads, and I’d be curious to know how you’d assess Hickory today. Has it found its footing, or are you still echoing the same rallying cry? Either way, the piece’s passion and clarity make it a compelling read then and now. What do you think—did Hickory prove you wrong, or right?

Your 2007 editorial called for Hickory to diversify its economy beyond its traditional reliance on textiles, furniture, and the fleeting fiber-optic boom, urging leadership to pursue emerging industries like alternative energy and biotech. Nearly 18 years later, in March 2025, economic diversification remains a critical topic—not just for Hickory but for many mid-sized American cities navigating post-industrial realities. Let’s explore how this concept has evolved, how Hickory may have responded, and what diversification looks like today.

Economic Diversification in Context

Economic diversification is the process of expanding a region’s economic base by reducing dependence on a single industry or sector and fostering growth in new areas. For Hickory in 2007, you identified a vulnerability: the city’s “eggs in one basket” approach—first with manufacturing, then fiber-optics—left it exposed when those sectors faltered. You advocated for proactive investment in future-oriented industries to create “real, meaningful jobs.” Since then, global and national trends have only heightened the urgency of diversification—think automation, offshoring, and the rise of tech-driven economies.

Hickory’s Economic Landscape in 2007

Back when you wrote your piece, Hickory was reeling from the dot-com bust and the decline of its old-school manufacturing base. Textiles and furniture, once the city’s backbone, were hemorrhaging jobs to cheaper overseas markets. The fiber-optic boom of the late 1990s had masked these losses temporarily, but by the early 2000s, the bubble burst, leaving Hickory economically adrift. Your call for diversification was a response to this stagnation, and you pinpointed alternative energy and biotech as potential saviors—industries that, at the time, were gaining traction nationally.

What’s Happened Since?

Fast forward to 2025, and Hickory’s economic story has likely seen some shifts. While I don’t have real-time data beyond my knowledge base, I can piece together a plausible trajectory based on trends and your original concerns.

1. Manufacturing’s Evolution, Not Extinction
Hickory’s manufacturing heritage hasn’t vanished—it’s adapted. The city remains a hub for furniture production, but the industry has shrunk, with companies like Hickory White (still operating since 1902) focusing on niche, high-quality markets rather than mass production. Meanwhile, advanced manufacturing—think precision machining, plastics, and even some tech components—has likely taken root. Nationally, manufacturing has seen a resurgence in some areas due to reshoring and supply chain concerns post-pandemic. Hickory’s proximity to I-40 and its skilled workforce could’ve capitalized on this, diversifying within the sector rather than abandoning it.

 

2. The Tech Boom: Data Centers and Beyond
One big win for Hickory since 2007 is its emergence as a data center corridor. Companies like Apple and Google have invested heavily—Apple’s $1 billion campus south of Hickory, launched in the 2010s, is a standout. Microsoft followed suit in 2022 with plans for multiple data centers in the region, promising jobs and tax revenue. This aligns with your push for future technologies, though it’s less about biotech and more about digital infrastructure. Data centers don’t employ masses—Apple’s facility, for instance, supports a few hundred jobs—but they signal Hickory’s entry into the tech economy, leveraging its location and power infrastructure.

 

3. Alternative Energy: A Mixed Bag
You flagged alternative fuel energy as a growth area in 2007, and nationally, the push for renewables has exploded—think solar, wind, and batteries, spurred by policies like the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act. North Carolina ranks high in solar energy production, but Hickory itself may not be a leader here. Nearby counties have landed battery factories (e.g., Toyota’s in the Triad), and Hickory’s region has seen some tech diversification, but there’s no clear evidence it’s become a renewable energy hub. Its manufacturing base could support related supply chains—say, components for solar panels—but this likely remains an untapped opportunity.

 

4. Education and Workforce Development
Diversification isn’t just about industries; it’s about people. Since 2007, Hickory’s educational institutions—like Catawba Valley Community College and Lenoir-Rhyne University—have expanded programs in STEM and workforce training. The 2023 opening of Appalachian State University’s Hickory campus signals a commitment to higher education, potentially feeding talent into tech, healthcare, and advanced manufacturing. This addresses your concern about jobs with a future, though the scale of impact depends on how well these programs align with industry needs.

 

5. Big Investments and Bonds
A turning point came with the 2014 $40 million bond referendum, which you didn’t foresee in 2007. Hickory leveraged this into nearly $100 million with grants, funding projects like the Hickory Trail system and the Trivium Corporate Center—a 378-acre business park. Companies like Corning, Cataler, and American Fuji Seal have set up shop there, bringing jobs in fiber-optics, automotive parts, and packaging. This diversification into light industrial and corporate sectors shows leadership heeding calls like yours, even if it’s not the biotech or energy focus you envisioned.

 

 How Does This Relate to Your Editorial?

Your piece nailed the need for change. The fiber-optic bust and manufacturing decline you described were real threats, and Hickory’s leadership seems to have pivoted—albeit slowly and not exactly as you prescribed. The data center boom and business park investments reflect a shift toward tech and industry, fulfilling your demand for economic development that looks to the future. However, your specific picks—alternative energy and biotech—haven’t fully materialized in Hickory, though they’re thriving elsewhere in North Carolina (e.g., Research Triangle’s biotech cluster). Your critique of downtown-focused spending also finds echoes today. The 2014 bond poured money into trails and urban amenities, which might still irk you if northeast, southeast, and southwest Hickory remain neglected. Yet, these investments have arguably made Hickory more attractive to businesses and residents, indirectly supporting diversification by boosting quality of life.

 

Diversification in 2025: Broader Trends

Today, economic diversification for a city like Hickory isn’t just about chasing trendy industries—it’s about resilience. Automation and AI are slashing low-skill jobs, a trend that would’ve worsened your 2007 concerns about textiles and furniture. Climate change pushes regions to adopt green tech, aligning with your alternative energy idea. Meanwhile, remote work and digital infrastructure (like those data centers) redefine what “jobs with a future” mean—less factory floors, more hybrid roles.

Hickory’s challenge now is balancing its manufacturing roots with these new realities. It’s not enough to lure a few big names; the city needs small businesses, startups, and a skilled workforce to sustain growth. Your call for “open-minded” leadership remains spot-on—rigidity could stall progress.

 

Did Hickory Diversify Enough?

By 2025, Hickory’s likely less dependent on any single sector than it was in 2007. Data centers, advanced manufacturing, and education investments suggest a broader base, though it may still lean heavily on industrial and tech niches. Your vision of a forward-thinking economy partly materialized—not through biotech or renewables, but through digital infrastructure and business parks. Whether that’s “first-class” enough depends on execution. Jobs are coming—Microsoft’s 50+ roles, Trivium’s hundreds—but are they the “meaningful” ones you sought, or just more temp-agency fillers? That’s the lingering question.

 In short, your editorial was a prescient push for diversification, and Hickory’s taken steps down that road. It’s not Charlotte, but it’s not Mayberry either—it’s carving a niche.

 

Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Transforming the Past into the Future - The AI-assisted Revival of The Hickory Hound

 Transforming the Past into the Future -The AI-Assisted Revival of The Hickory Hound

📅 Published: March 12, 2025
✍️ By: James Thomas Shell


📌 Why AI Helps Revitalize The Hickory Hound

The Hickory Hound Blog has always been about uncovering the truth behind local economic and political issues. But as time passes, older articles can appear outdated—not because they were wrong, but because the world has evolved.

So what if we could take those insights, examine them with modern tools, and bring them into 2025?

Thanks to Artificial Intelligence, that’s exactly what we’re doing.


🔹 Step 1: AI-Assisted Content Revitalization

Rather than letting old blog posts fade into obscurity, we’re bringing them back to life. AI tools will analyze past discussions, extract key insights, and present them through a modern lens.

What’s changing?

✅ Old posts will be linked to and addressed for today’s audience.
✅ AI will track long-term trends and compare past predictions vs. today’s realities.
✅ We’ll connect historical events to AI-powered solutions that didn’t exist back then.

For example, if we covered Hickory’s economic downturn from 2008-2011, we’ll explore:
1️⃣ What we got right
2️⃣ What changed
3️⃣ How new technologies could have helped then
4️⃣ What AI-powered solutions can do now

This isn’t just about archiving history—it’s about using AI to reframe the past as a blueprint for the future.


🔹 Step 2: AI-Powered Fact-Checking & Data-Driven Insights

Information evolves, and so must The Hickory Hound. We’ll use AI-powered research tools to verify statistics, analyze political shifts, and cross-check economic data in real-time.

🔍 How we’ll do it:

AI-driven data comparison (then vs. now)
AI-powered economic forecasting
Automated fact-checking for accuracy & credibility

If we discussed Hickory’s job market collapse in 2009, AI can:

  • Pull historical employment data
  • Compare 2025 job market trends
  • Predict future workforce shifts for the next decade

The goal isn’t just to recap history—it’s to examine what we missed and how new technology can help prevent future mistakes.


🔹 Step 3: Connecting Old Posts to AI-Assisted Solutions

The biggest upgrade? Applying AI-based solutions to old problems.

Many of Hickory’s past challenges—declining industries, stagnant wages, lack of economic diversification—could have benefited from AI-driven forecasting, automation, and digital infrastructure.

🚀 What AI can do now that we didn’t have before:

Predict market shifts to prevent economic collapses
Automate workforce training to upskill workers faster
Analyze government policies for better decision-making

Each updated post will re-examine the past through the lens of AI-powered possibilities—not just “What happened?” but “What could have happened if AI had been available?”


🎯 The Future of The Hickory Hound Blog

With AI-assisted insights, The Hickory Hound isn’t just coming back—it’s evolving.

Expect:
Revitalized articles connecting past, present, and future
AI-enhanced insights that go beyond opinion to data-driven analysis
Actionable takeaways that offer real-world solutions

The future of journalism isn’t just about reporting—it’s about predicting, analyzing, and solving problems. And that’s exactly what we’re doing here.


📌 Final Thoughts & Engagement

I’m not bringing back the free-for-all comment section from the past, but I still welcome real discussion.

💬 Want to contribute? Email your thoughts, and I’ll post relevant, well-thought-out responses. We’ll find the best approach for dialogue moving forward.


📌 The Hickory Hound is Bigger Than Just Hickory

A lot has changed since you last heard from me.

A pandemic happened.
The government attempted to regulate online speech.
People and communities changed.
And I evolved too.

This blog will no longer be strictly City of Hickory-focused. We will discuss the region, the state, the country, and the world. Because in today’s reality, Hickory’s challenges are global challenges.

If you can’t see the bigger picture, you’re going to get left behind.

🔹 What’s Next? The first AI-powered post update is coming soon. Stay tuned.


🚀 The Future of The Hickory Hound Starts Now.

📢 Your Thoughts? Email me at hickoryhoundfeedback@gmail.com — I’ll post the best, most insightful responses.

🔹 What past blog post should we update first? Reply with your suggestions.


Thursday, December 31, 2020

The State of Hickory 2020

 A Prologue to 2020

It has been hard to focus lately. I’ve always been someone with many oars in the water. I started the year working my job, running errands, and taking care of a couple of properties. By March I was a full-time caregiver, still running errands, trying to prepare a garden, and taking care of those properties. In May I was back to my job, being a part-time caregiver, still running errands, trying to garden, and still taking care of those properties. That all continued throughout the rest of the year, but come December I became the infirmed myself, and to finish out the year I’ve had to focus on my well-being. Yeah, having a lot of oars in the water won’t get you much of anywhere if those oars aren’t paddling in the same direction.

I think that many of us have dealt with these issues over the past year. The population of our area has aged and so we 40 and 50 and 60 somethings have to look out for our parents who are 70 and 80 years old and need some assistance. It’s just the reality of the world we live in. When you throw in the healthy (really unhealthy) dose of paranoia brought on by the Coronavirus Pandemic, then it becomes mentally draining. The energy needed to make life work is incredible and much of the energy for these tasks, we don’t want to do, feels like we are wasting time. It’s like we are doing the same thing over and over again and not accomplishing much, so it isn’t fulfilling. I think many of us are burned out by all that has gone on in 2020.

 The Surface

I haven’t written one of these State of Hickory pieces in 5 years. I think if you go back and read them, you will understand that these documents are written with sincerity. I think much of what has been written has stood the test of time and has credibility. What I write here is what I see, read, and hear about the goings-on in this community and what I sense about the present, and what it projects for its future. Unlike what you get with so-called “Journalism” these days, these words that I put down aren’t meant to fulfill a company agenda or to make sure that I don’t upset certain people. These words are meant to paint a picture of reality.

When it comes to Hickory, on the surface, you see some good things that have happened like the new multi-use apartment building and facility across from City Hall called One North Center. There has been a lot of energy that has gone into that project. According to articles in the Hickory Daily Record, the developer will have invested at least $15.5 million in the project as part of its agreement with the city. The city in turn agreed to spend $3.5 million, primarily for structural improvements to the site. The City was paid $240,000 for the property, which they had owned and used as city parking for years.

The property does look nice and it will fill a niche for those seeking luxury and who desire that trendy downtown lifestyle that many other communities have developed over time. The people interested in living at One North Center are excited because they feel like they are pioneering stakeholders in Hickory becoming like other trendy cities in the region. This developed as part of the movement promulgated by the local Powers That Be over the past decade. These are the same folks that pushed forward the Boost Hickory group that got the $40 million Bond initiative passed in 2014.

As part of the Union Square revitalization projects we have seen over the past decade, tons of concrete has been poured to further urbanize and restructure the area that centers around the courtyard of Union Square. The folks that are energized about the apartment development across from City Hall have been super excited to see the cleaner and wider sidewalk that is the Citywalk. Local officials point to the completion of these projects as examples of a community moving forward, achieving goals, and making economic progress.

Of late, coming into Catawba County on Highway 321 from Caldwell County – Granite Falls, Lenoir, the mountains – as one crosses the bridge and looks to the left, we can now see the pylons put into the ground that is the foundation for the Riverwalk. If you drive River Road in the Lakeland Park Neighborhood, then you can see activity taking place at Geitner Park. One of the bright spots for years in our community has been the success of the parks out along the river. Geitner Park, Rotary Park, and Glenn Hilton Park have been facilities that Hickory’s citizenry have enjoyed for decades and Hickory Inc. tells us that they are committed to investing more in these assets to make them even better in the years ahead.

We also see the Business Park named the Trivium Corporate Center located in Southeast Hickory crossing Interstate 40 and heading down Startown road towards Highway 321 South. This business center is located between Startown Road and Robinwood Road less than 2 miles from the Interstate 40, Highway 70, Startown Road intersection. Looking at the maps provided by Catawba County’s Economic Development Corporation, one sees that there are currently nine large proposed developments within this property and room for more sub lots. Of the nine large developments, four are already filled and these are the type of high-tech manufacturing facilities, with good-paying jobs, that our community has long desired. The projects already in the works represent right at 500 jobs and over $150 million to be invested in our area.

What has been expressed to the community is that hundreds of millions of dollars have been invested in Hickory and there are promises of more to come. Infrastructure is being built that will make Hickory more modern and appealing. Jobs are coming to the area that we have needed and desired for a long time. We are seeing residential developments being constructed that are in demand by the well-to-do and will make the heart of the city convey a small town of prosperity, sort of like The Wizard of Oz’s allegory about the Emerald City. 

 

The Middle

In the five years since I last composed one of these articles about our community’s condition, the economic landscape has certainly changed. Manufacturing was able to make a comeback during President Trump’s first 3 years in office with a focus on reshoring American industries that had been offshored over the past 20 years. In the United States, we were seeing solid growth in Gross Domestic Product due to the Domestic Business Policies that were put into place.

Before the Coronavirus Pandemic, the economy certainly looked to be on a path towards continued growth. Compare that to the previous 8 years where we were told that manufacturing in the United States was dead because we couldn’t compete with foreign cheap labor and other reduced costs of doing business. President Obama said he didn’t have a magic wand. There was a multitude of excuses that were given as to why we couldn’t get the economy rolling after the Great Recession that lasted from 2008 through 2009 – and beyond. We had one year of annualized 3% growth in GDP during Obama’s eight years in office. The key to National economic growth is correlated to manufacturing. Manufacturing takes raw materials and creates products. Selling products creates profit which moves the economy. The rawer the inputs >to> the more refined the product >equals> the greater the value >and> the greater the profit.

Hickory enjoyed the fruits of the Renaissance that we saw in manufacturing during the Trump Presidency because we are and have always been a manufacturing hub during the modern economic era in the United States. Obama’s years mainly saw an economy centered around Urban Expansion and a Global Economic Agenda that mostly benefited the upper crust of American society at the expense of the working class -- and the working class is the Middle Class. Our area couldn’t get a foothold under these policies, because we are a suburban population that isn’t metropolitan but isn’t rural either.

The major urban centers located near Hickory are Charlotte 50 miles Southeast, Winston-Salem 70 miles East-Northeast, and Asheville 75 miles West-Southwest. Most people don’t want a two-hour-plus commute to work every day. That drive would be a job in and of itself. So we aren’t going to be a bedroom community for the major metro areas. That just isn’t realistic.

The outskirts of our area are truly rural in nature. Those communities have suffered greatly from the Global policies that we have seen over the past generation. How are they supposed to progress when the Federal and State governments continually ignore their needs? These smaller towns and unincorporated areas in our immediate region have a relationship with Hickory that stems from Hickory’s location and its history as the commercial and transportation hub of the counties that surround it. Hickory has always benefited from this relationship, but that relationship has taken a hit over time, because of modern realities.

Hickory is the definition of caught in the middle. We are a community that was built upon Middle-Class values. We aren’t Urban and we aren’t Rural. We have all of the amenities of the larger cities of North Carolina and the Eastern United States, but those amenities aren’t as plentiful and they aren’t quite as nice, because of Economies of Scale. We are located a little too far from the urban centers to take part in the economic growth that those areas have experienced over the past couple of decades.

To express that growth in numbers, let’s look at the fact that Charlotte was the seventh-fastest-growing large metro over the past decade, increasing population by 15.9% between 2010 and 2018. Charlotte is now the 16th largest city in the United States by population and the fifth-fastest-growing city in the country. Charlotte’s expansion has been long-lasting and sustained. Charlotte's population was around 540,000 in 2000 and today it is estimated to be around 885,000. That means that Charlotte has grown by 64% since the year 2000.

Winston-Salem has grown by 8% since 2010 and 33% since 2000. Asheville has grown 11% since 2010 and 35% since 2000. In comparison, Hickory has grown by 3% since 2010 and by 11% since the year 2000.

If Hickory had grown at Asheville’s rate since 2000, we would have a population of a little over 50,000 people now. Asheville had around 30,000 more people than Hickory in the year 2000 and now it has 50,000 more people than Hickory and is more than twice Hickory’s size in population. If Hickory had grown at Charlotte’s rate, then we would have a population of over 60,000 by now. The dynamics of those numbers feed off of one another. The urban area populations grew because the Federal and State governments focused on helping them grow and people moved there for economic opportunity. On the other hand, we lost many of our best and brightest young people to those urban centers because of the economic opportunity that we could not provide.

 

Down Below

So here I am 13 years after I initially decided to publicly start writing about this community. What I have always attempted to do is paint a picture of our community as it is. Some people don’t care for my take on our community’s standing in the world concerning its economics, politics, and culture, I understand that this isn’t how everyone sees things. Like I have said so many times, I am not a salesman. My job isn’t to sell the community. I am here to paint a picture as close to reality as possible. Realistic assessments of where you are help individuals and groups of people make better plans that will help them achieve their goals to get where they want to be.

In November 2014, we saw the $40 million Bond referendum passed because Hickory Inc. pushed a narrative that it was urgent that this happens, because of the state of the local economic condition, which had been in a malaise since the early 2000s. Of course, that malaise was brought on by what I describe above – Globalism and Government pushing people into the Metropolitan Areas and focusing their directives upon those Urban Centers at the expense of communities like our own. We had basically been abandoned.

Unfortunately, during the beginning of this century, our community officials had made some decisions that exacerbated the malaise. They were promoting our area as a haven for retirees just when we were having our young people and nest builders yanked out from underneath us. Admittedly, I haven’t seen the demographic breakdown as of late, but over the first 15 years of this decade, we were deeply in the red when it came to the population growth of those 40 and younger. The reason we had any growth at all was because of the successful recruitment of retirees to our community.

As I said above, the population data reflects my assessment of the motives of Hickory officials and the reasoning behind the Powers That Be developing these current economic and cultural initiatives.

After the Referendum was passed, in February 2015 a bond commission was created under the auspices that it would play a role in the implementation of the $25 million of Bonds that were intended for traditional Hickory's infrastructure. Another $15 million was set aside for economic development and a business park in the Startown area. The Economic Development Corporation led by Scott Millar has been directing that project and over time it has become more apparent that he is playing a pivotal role in the developments taking place in traditional Hickory.

The Bond Commission hasn’t played any direct role in these developments other than to encourage community spirit and to support the public relations promoting the projects.

Most of the work pertaining to the development of these projects has been happening behind the scenes. The projects have been a collaboration of the City's executive staff and the project development firms they hired out. Freese and Nichols were the primary consulting group that worked in conjunction with city executives on the master plan for the city projects.

To be honest the implementation phase of these projects has taken forever, especially when it was sold to the public as urgent in 2014. Six years down the road from the Bond Referendum being passed and almost nine years after its forerunner initiative “Inspiring Spaces” was formed, I don’t think anyone would say that they thought it would take this long to not even be halfway into all of this. I don’t think what was promised could be said to be halfway delivered. I would also say that there hasn’t been much transparency in relation to this venture and that the perception is that city officials don’t have a feel for all of this themselves. They don’t know how long all of this is going to take.

 

Money 

For practically all of my life, we have continued to pump the public’s money into Union Square and to change it in some way hoping to make it the center of attention for the community like it was in days gone by. My issues with Union Square have never been personal. My issue is that Union Square development seems to be the sole focus of our community's leadership. Hell, in terms of real money (adjusted for inflation), we’ve probably put a billion dollars worth of taxpayer money into the Square and we have seen little return for most of Hickory’s taxpayers. And there doesn’t seem to be any end in sight to these initiatives.

I have nothing against Union Square property owners, shop owners, or their patrons, but I don't think it is the responsibility of the taxpayers (the investing party) to enhance the area for those people, especially when we are still seeing other parts of the community being neglected and disrespected.

Just think, I might own a restaurant, a clothing shop or another business in one of Hickory’s other areas miles away from the Square and Hickory Inc. is going to take my property tax money, sales tax money, and other city fees and redirect them to the benefit of my competition on or around the Square. Hickory Inc. is going to promote my competition at my expense. Do you see what I am getting at?

I also worry about the near term economic future of our community, because without the emphasis on manufacturing that we saw from 2017 through 2019, we might just fall back into that economic malaise that we just finger clawed out of. I hope to God I’m wrong. It has become apparent that the real problem with American manufacturing is that too many individuals are profiteering from selling out the interests of the American Workforce.

Hickory’s middle class is that workforce that has been constantly sold out for years. They are proud people who just want a decent job with decent pay and to be able to keep their money, have some nice things, and be able to invest a little in their future. They want a decent quality of life.

Hey, I’ll admit when I am wrong and when Hickory Inc. started talking about all of these initiatives and projects, and they started talking about the money involved, I thought for sure that interest rates would rise and we would be paying a crazy amount of interest, much less paying back the principal. Interest rates are still low, so we’ve been lucky by that token. Hickory Inc. has so far issued $30 million of the Bonds. The first issuance ($15 million) took place in August 2018 and the second issuance ($15 million) took place in November 2019. The first bonds were issued at a smidge under 3% and the second issuance was around 2.2%. They are 20-year term bonds and should be paid back by 2038-39. The third tranche of $10 million has not been issued yet, so they wouldn’t be paid back until the early 2040s.

We are still going to see property taxes rise to pay for these projects. The tax rate has risen 8.75 cents (per $1,000) since 2014 and you can expect it to rise further over the upcoming years. That comes along with the 4.5 cents (per $1,000) raised by Catawba County over that same span. That doesn’t amount to but $13.25 extra on a $100,000 property, but you know that isn’t going to pay back $40 million bucks either. Remember they have to maintain their present budget levels and the costs of goods and services will rise over time. The money to pay back these bonds will have to come from somewhere.

At some point with the debasing of the dollar through macroeconomic debt, we are going to have an inflationary spiral, but I’ve given up on trying to predict when that will occur because the worldwide economic wizards have the bands wound so tight, no one with a clue would have ever thought the current system would have lasted this long because it never has in the past.

 

And That’s the Bottom Line Cause The Hound Says So

I would describe the current condition of Hickory as better than it was but in need of constant situational awareness with regards to the National and Global Economic Landscape. We have certainly taken a big bite financially with regards to the bond projects.

In looking at what has taken place around Hickory’s City Center, I would describe these public works projects as upgrades. Existing infrastructure is being renewed, rearranged, reorganized, and recycled. There’s plenty that has happened to make the people who already consume Union Square happy. There isn’t anything that has happened down there that can be labeled as game-changing.  No public works that have been done down there, as part of this revitalization,  have been additional in nature. It is by definition a Beautification Project.

Well, people will talk about that One North Center multi-use apartment complex and that is an addition, but that is a private venture that the city helped facilitate through public investment. Hickory Inc. officials and its cheerleaders tell us that is what the Citywalk and the future sidewalk enhancement down Old 70 are all about. They say when they upgrade these sidewalks, more businesses and residences will spring up along these areas. Build it and they will come, so to speak. Well, we shall see.

How many more times can Hickory Inc. spend $3+ million (or even a million or a half a million) to help make a private project happen without some kind of a payback put in place? Yes, I understand what was said about it is necessary to clean up the issues that were buried under the city parking lot where this new Apartment complex is located, but there will be other properties with hazardous issues that have to be mitigated. We have seen that all across the city limits. How will we fairly pick and choose which properties will be helped along by taxpayer’s dollars and which ones won’t? I think that is a very fair question to be asked.

Still, not much has happened around other less fortunate areas of town that have continued to be abandoned. With all that has been budgeted and spent in the wash, rinse, dry, and do it all again City Center, we know that it will be at least 20 years before we could go about focusing on any of those other areas. If those areas are going to be revitalized, then it will take the neighborhood associations and possible business associations that will have to take the initiative to make things happen on their own. They aren’t going to get help from a City Hall whose resources are hyperfocused on the projects created of, by, and for the Bond Referendum and its supporters. I’m sorry but it seems that if those less prosperous areas are to be developed it will be despite City Hall and not because of it.

So what I am seeing and saying is that “It rolls downhill… It always rolls downhill.” Hickory spent years trying to get some attention from the State and Federal governments. It took a new administration with an “America First” perspective for Hickory to start rebounding. We finally got some of the attention we had long needed.

In turn, Hickory took the resources that have finally been afforded to it and decided to invest it in the same infrastructure it has been investing in for 50 years. The middle class, the people who most represent Hickory, continue to get muted. Like how Hickory had been ignored for years by the people above it, in turn, Hickory’s decision-makers have chosen to do the same to the people below them. They don’t seem to catch on to the irony.

Now it looks like we might be forced back into the situation we found ourselves in a few years ago. The Coronavirus Pandemic has certainly put everything into a holding pattern and I can just imagine the economic consequences that will follow the aftermath of this situation. The present year has certainly done us no favors.

Like a take on what an old mentor told me when I was younger, “Prepare for the worst and Pray for the Best.”

Please God, I beg you to bless this community in the upcoming year!

https://hickoryrecord.com/news/hickory-council-oks-new-residential-and-commercial-development/article_93b20ee2-cf2c-11e9-8c55-4340ce11b2f9.html

https://www.catawbaedc.org/properties/triviumcorporatecenter

https://www.hickorync.gov/city-hickory-sells-first-round-bonds

https://www.hickorync.gov/city-hickory-sells-second-round-bonds