Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Sometimes Going Back is Going Forward -- Let's Fix This!!!

Comment made in the previous article that I want everyone to see and see the response to:

The change in the 1960's was moving away from segregation and towards integration just as old ward style isolationist (kingdoms)elections progressed to the at large elections that we have today. The change took the City in the same direction as most Cities in NC are today-overwhelmingly so. It appears as though this referendum is moving the City back to the 1960 era. Not a good thing. It took a progressive Council and Mayor to make the change in the 1960's. Ok fire away Hound!

To the first anonymous. I am not attacking the messenger. I am "Attacking" (addressing) the message. I'd love to talk with this guy. The only thing I did was mention his name. He called what we are doing radical, thus inferring that we are radicals.

To the second anonymous. I appreciate your reasoning and it does fall in line with the argument made at the time of one man one vote, but the process and logic are very much flawed in my opinion.

We are the only city, our size, in North Carolina that has this Modified At-Large system, which is what the information that the city went and got from the School of Government shows. There are two cities our size that have the pure ward system. The other cities have Pure At-Large systems with no wards in the cities, so Hickory is doing their own thing.

You talk about kingdoms. Is the State of North Carolina a Kingdom? Last time I looked there is no one from South Carolina clamoring that they deserve to vote here and in Virginia and in Wyoming. The pure Ward system is best, in my opinion, because it allows people to deal with the issues in their community/neighborhood. Kingdoms are defined by Monarchy and Kings. We are talking about empowering regular ole people and having their representatives be accountable towards their communities/neighborhood's interests. That doesn't seem all that bad to me. It is grassroots participation at its finest. It keeps it to where a representative looks out for what is best for his community/neighborhood first, while fitting that (and plugging into) the needs of the overall City. That is the way this State and Country works.

DoGood made an excellent point. Elected City Officials claim that they Look at (have looked out for) the welfare of the entire city. This was the argument made back in the 1960s. What are they defining as the entire city? Seems like it is only the very center of Old Hickory.

Where are the big Economic Development and Revitalization projects in Southwest Hickory, Highland, St Stephens, and even Viewmont? Heck, they have allowed the people with degraded and abandoned properties in these areas to have free rein, thus depreciating the value of those properties that are taken care of. What if you bought one of these properties years ago and all of this degradation has subsequently occurred? What have you, as a property owner, done to deserve this fate?

It was stated back in 1967 that the going to an At-Large system would lead to machine politics and I believe it most certainly has. The Mayor talks about Horse trading under a ward system and that is what we have seen under the current At-Large system with the less wealthy wards being held hostage by the wards with more wealth and any monies towards economic development going towards the wealthy interests, while the middle class and poor are ignored. Give and take is going to happen under any system, but when ones neighborhoods are taken into consideration first that is a lot more noble than money interests coming first.

You can read about all of this. We haven't tried to hide anything, but we do provide opinion.


http://thehickoryhound.blogspot.com/2011/11/1967-how-we-got-where-we-are-today.html

http://thehickoryhound.blogspot.com/2011/11/1961-lesson-in-hickorys-history.html

The logic and reasoning of the City Leadership in 1967 of one man/one vote was as wrong then as it is today with the 2012 City Leadership. If I can vote for my ward representative who lives in my community/neighborhood and then 5 people who never step foot in my ward come along and decide they know what is best for me, then we are diluting the voting rights of that ward. We are right back to the system that surrounded segregation all those years ago.

I believe that if you allow the wards to have representation that meets the dynamics (Culture & Socio Economic) of that particular neighborhood/community, then the people of that ward feel better about their representation and governance and they will participate in their governance. And if they don't like their representative and feel that they aren't represented by the individual, then it will be much easier to boot them out.

When all of the Wards are empowered and come forward and work together, plugged in - charged, on the City Council bench, then it will mean the empowerment of every crack, corner, creak, and crevice of this city and you will see revitalization and human energy come back to Hickory.

This City is not doing well folks. Most of us see that. Many of the most don't know what to do. This is what we need to do folks. What happened back in 1967 was a mistake. No name calling or insults are intended or needed. They were misguided. I understand the fears and motivations they had that caused them to go in this direction, but I believe those fears were unfounded... that what happened didn't benefit anyone and that what we can be, can be so much more.

That is the reason why I believe in the Pure Ward Voting System.

You know sometimes having the courage to admit mistakes in logic and reasoning and going back to your foundation, roots and reestablishing your mission is a good thing. Dead end roads don't lead to progress. In this case going back is going forward!



Monday, July 30, 2012

Ward Referendum Voting Meeting - Patrick Beaver Library - July 28, 2012

This was a open meeting held on July 28, 2012. The public was invited and a diverse group of citizens attended the meeting. This discussion was an open discussion where Joe Brannock and Myself (Thom Shell) spoke to the issue of why we support the direct ward system. Jay Adams, a former Mayoral and City Council candidate and supporter of this issue, was asked to make an impromptu address of the group. Billy Sudderth, the discussion facilitator for the Citizens for Equity in Government also made some important points of discussion.



The Hound: We talk about the lack of participation.... Taking ownership of your personal lives and governance... The dynamics of the local governance... Ward Dynamics... The Dilution of your vote and influence in the ward you reside in... Gaining a voice for citizens... The Dynamics of the current City Council and City council meetings... Empowering Neighborhood Associations... Moving Citizens Requesting to be Heard to the front of the Agenda at City Council meetings... Wealth should not control the Power of Governance... Diverse people coming together for common interests... shedding the labels... term limits... 2,707 reasons for signing the petition... problems with the City Management form of Government.

*** We are the only city our size in North Carolina that has the Modified At-Large electoral system with Primaries in Wards leading to an At-Large General Election.

The following comment is about the meeting this past Saturday and a response to the Letter to the Editor in the Hickory Daily Record by Mr. Paul Byrd,  in which he labels those supportive of the Direct Ward Voting Movement as "Radicals." If believing that government belongs to the people, all of the people, and people should have input in their governance 365 days per year and people should be able to state an opinion for the record to their government. If that is "Radical," then I am 100% guilty.

This was a great meeting and I was encouraged by the diversity of those in attendance - black, white; republican, democrat - casting aside political and racial labels and coming to together to talk about an issue.

And this meeting was open to the entire public - as advertised. I'd wish Mrs. Fox had publicly advertised her little get together at the library instead of personally calling a hand-selected few people.

I certainly don't know what it is, but our City Council members are hell-bent against sitting down in a public setting and discussing this issue.

Hopefully, Mr. Guess will man-up, and accept the Greenpark Neighborhood Assoc's invitation to speak at a forum they are holding in August.

As with so many other things, only time will tell. I guess the only refreshing thought is that here lately, the chips have been falling in a manner independent of the City's control.

I can only imagine what the City will look like on September 19th - but I am very much looking forward to it!

DON'T FORGET TO GO VOTE!!!!!!!!!!!!

Sunday, July 29, 2012

Economic Stories of Relevance in Today's World -- July 29, 2012

Chinese buying of U.S. business at record pace - CNN Money - Parija Kavilanz - July 26, 2012 -
.... Total Chinese foreign direct investment in the U.S. is on pace to reach at least $8 billion this year, according to the report from research firm Rhodium Group.........               That would top the previous record of $5.7 billion reached in 2010, said Thilo Hanemann, research director with Rhodium Group, which tracks all acquisitions and investments in manufacturing facilities, warehouses, labs and offices by foreign companies in the United States valued at $1 million or higher........                           Hanemann said this year's pending multi-billion dollar acquisitions include Dalian Wanda's $2.6 billion dollar bid for movie theater chain AMC and Chinese aerospace manufacturer Superior Aviation's $1.8 billion bid for Wichita, Kan.-based aircraft maker Hawker Beechcraft.


Economy weak in second quarter, GDP grows at 1.5% rate - USA Today - Tim Mullaney - Newsmax.com - July 27, 2012 - The U.S. economy slowed in the spring, with second-quarter growth barely half the pace it hit late last year, the government reported today....                     
Gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of 1.5% between April and June, down from 2.0% in the first quarter and 4.1% late last year.....                           More cautious consumers were the main reason. Consumer spending, which makes up about 70% of the economy, grew by 1.5% compared with 2.4% in the first quarter.......                       The report from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis appears to include signs that other forces, from Europe's financial crisis to the impending "fiscal cliff" of tax-cut expirations and new spending cuts due to take effect Jan. 1, are also slowing the economy......                           Coming amid other signs of a weakening economy, the latest GDP report will increase attention on next week's meeting of Federal Reserve policymakers and what further steps the Fed might take to stimulate the economy..........                    Many economists believe the Fed will launch another round of bond buying at its September policy meeting. The aim is to drive long-term interest rates lower and encourage more borrowing and spending.


Economy: The U.S. Retail Collapse Accelerates - ETF Daily news - July 25, 2012 - Jeff Nielson: Less than two weeks ago I wrote “Crash Warning.” It outlined the current economic parameters of the global economy and explained that we were careening toward a particular form of economic Armageddon which I believe was first described by John Williams of Shadowstats.com, when he coined the phrase “hyperinflationary depression” nearly a decade ago....                         The debt-laden, fraud-saturated paper Ponzi-schemes of Western bankers are now all about to implode in a deflationary (debt-default) collapse – most notably all their fraud-bonds. Simultaneously, the rabidly excessive money-printing of these reckless gamblers is causing (and will cause) the prices for hard assets (i.e. assets which actually have value) to spiral upward, with the most likely final destination being hyperinflation......                     Because that previous commentary was describing a global economic paradigm, my analysis was necessarily abbreviated with respect to the apex of all economic ills: the United States. In particular, I spent less than a paragraph discussing the collapse of the retail sector in the world’s largest economy – a consumer economy....                      Before we examine this train-wreck directly, let’s take a moment to define the backbone of this consumer economy: the American consumer. The two charts below should be very familiar to regular readers, and describe the American consumer in stark but precise terms: poor and/or unemployed.

           

We see two things in the chart above on average American wages. First we see how (in real dollars) wages for the average U.S. worker have been falling steadily for more than 40 years. Those wages have now fallen by more than 50%, all the way down to the same levels as during the Great Depression. And we see how the U.S. government’s lies about inflation have almost entirely concealed this relentless collapse in wages. How convenient........                       Meanwhile, we see the percentage of Americans who are actually working also plummeting downward, to a 30-year low. The collapse in wages has been accompanied by a collapse in employment levels. Combined, it translates into a collapse in consumer purchasing power of well in excess of 50%.


Break Up Big Banks, Says Mega-Bank Pioneer - ABC News - July 26, 2012 - It’s nothing less than a remarkable about-face. One of the architects of mega banking is now calling for the breakup of the world’s largest banks. Sandy Weill, formerly CEO of Citigroup, told CNBC: “What we should probably do is go and split up investment banking from banking, have banks be the deposit takers, have banks make commercial loans and real estate loans, have banks do something that’s not going to risk the taxpayer dollars, that’s not too big to fail.” ........                      In the late ’90′s Weill was a global banking pioneer, building Citi into a financial supermarket. Now “I am suggesting that they be broken up so that the taxpayer will never be at risk,” said Weill, adding his voice to a growing chorus of regulators, and financial experts........                              “Our system has been hijacked and we need to change it,” says Neil Barofsky, former special inspector general in charge of oversight of TARP. Breaking up the banks, says Barofsky, “is widely accepted.” Barofsky, who makes his case in the new book, “Bailout,” claims “the only people who have not accepted this it seems like is the big banks themselves and the politicians they seem to affectively control in Washington.”


Stephen Roach Smokes Crack-Addicted Market "QE3 Is Not Going To Work" - Tyler Durden - July 25, 2012 - Is it any wonder that Stephen Roach is now ex-Morgan Stanley? Today's brilliant truthiness in his interview on Bloomberg TV is an absolute must-watch as the veteran market practitioner notes that the Fed is forced to act next week and while consumers are telling you that they want to pay down debt - which all the monetray stimulus in the world is not going to change - that QE is nothing but crack to a ridiculously addicted market. With 70% of the US economy in a balance sheet recession, the Fed knows this (which he notes is now run by WSJ's Jon Hilsenrath since what he prints must be adhered to by Ben for fear of market disappointment) and is "dangling QE in front of the markets like raw meat - but it has not worked and it will not work!" But critically, he believes, the euphoric response of markets will be tempered since they have become "used to the fact that all of this unconventional monetary easing by the central bank is just not what it is supposed to be."


New-Home Sales Drop 8.4% as Weak Growth May Slow Housing Recovery - MarketWatch - Jeffry Bartash - July 25, 2012 - Sales of new houses fell 8.4% in June after reaching a two-year high in May, suggesting that the slowdown in the U.S. economy might be making buyers more cautious.                        Sales declined to an annual rate of 350,000 in June and median prices of new homes also fell to the lowest level since January, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday.
Economists polled by MarketWatch had forecast sales to rise to a 375,000 rate last month.              The pullback in June, however, was largely offset by a bigger increase in transactions in May than originally reported. Sales in May were revised up to an annual rate of 382,000 — the highest level since April 2010 — from 369,000. Sales in April were also revised higher.


100 Million Poor People In America And 39 Other Facts About Poverty That Will Blow Your Mind - The Economic Collapse Blog - Every single day more Americans fall into poverty.  This should deeply alarm you no matter what political party you belong to and no matter what your personal economic philosophy is.  Right now, approximately 100 million Americans are either "poor" or "near poor".  For a lot of people "poverty" can be a nebulous concept, so let's define it.  The poverty level as defined by the federal government in 2010 was $11,139 for an individual and $22,314 for a family of four.  Could you take care of a family of four on less than $2000 a month?  Millions upon millions of families are experiencing a tremendous amount of pain in this economy, and no matter what "solutions" we think are correct, the reality is that we all should have compassion on them.  Sadly, things are about to get even worse.  The next major economic downturn is rapidly approaching, and when it hits the statistics posted below are going to look even more horrendous.
When it comes to poverty, most Americans immediately want to get into debates about tax rates and wealth redistribution and things like that.                    But the truth is that they are missing the main point.                 The way we slice up the pie is not going to solve our problems, because the pie is constantly getting smaller.                      Our economic infrastructure is being absolutely gutted, the U.S. dollar is slowly losing its status as the reserve currency of the world and we are steadily getting poorer as a nation.                     Don't be fooled by the government statistics that show a very small amount of "economic growth".  Those figures do not account for inflation.                          After accounting for inflation, our economic growth has actually been negative all the way back into the middle of the last decade.                  According to numbers compiled by John Williams of shadowstats.com, our "real GDP" has continually been negative since 2005.                 So that means we are getting poorer as a nation.                     Meanwhile, we have been piling up astounding amounts of debt.                40 years ago the total amount of debt in the United States (government, business and consumer) was less than 2 trillion dollars.                         Today it is nearly 55 trillion dollars.                    So we have a massive problem.                 Our economic pie is shrinking and millions of Americans have been falling out of the middle class.  Meanwhile, we have been piling up staggering amounts of debt in order to maintain our vastly inflated standard of living.  As our economic problems get even worse, those trends are going to accelerate even more.
So don't look down on the poor.  You might be joining them a lot sooner than you might think.
The following are 40 facts about poverty in America that will blow your mind.... (Follow the Link to the 39 facts).


The Creature from Jekyll Island - G Edward Griffin -
Harry Reid has promised that there will not be a vote in the Senate for 'Audit the Fed', despite his past support for an audit in 1995. Contact Harry Reid now, and tell him to AUDIT THE FED: 202-224-3542. In addition call your senators and tell them to vote to Audit The Fed!





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Saturday, July 28, 2012

Meeting about the True Ward system -- July 28, 2012

I will be there to listen at 2pm at the Patrick Beaver Library. Hope you will be. People coming together with an open mind. The new Hickory being built on a solid foundation and inclusive to all people and ideas. How refreshing. I will report on the proceedings for those who can't make it.



Friday, July 27, 2012

The Box

I went to a meeting, which was basically a brainstorming session last week. This meeting was a give and take discussion that attempted to discuss the issues of where we are in Hickory and Catawba County and what's it going to take to kickstart the area back towards economic progress and prosperity.

I thought that much of the discussion was very constructive.  There were some things that I really to my core disagreed with, but most of what was discussed was on target. What disappointed me a little was that it seems like we are still talking about issues from three and four years ago and some of the ideas were firmly entrenched with what I perceive as an inside the box perspective. I mean people were still talking about the four year university thing. Might as well talk about Santa Claus while we're at it.

I interjected a point about the lack of capital in our area and the mediator of the discussion asked if there was a lack of capital and some people chimed in that there wasn't a lack of capital, but a lack of access to capital. Well, I'm sitting there thinking, what the heck did they think I was talking about. I know that you can call these empty buildings sitting along the railroad tracks a capital investment, but do they have any substantial current value and is their value increasing as we speak? Under current economic conditions can you turn them into substantial cash assets?

Of course I was talking about the lack of access to credit. I personally know businesses that had credit lines that were cut off even though they were in good standing. I know people and businesses that can't get a loan without putting up substantial amounts of assets or equity, in comparison to the loan amount, as collateral. That makes it hard to get new businesses, or ventures, off the ground. There is no guaranteed investment in a good or bad economy. There is always risk associated with any investment, but it sure seems that investors demand guaranteed results these days in a manner that they didn't demand in the past. There was an excellent comment made that Historical Regional Capital is gun shy and shell shocked! And I believe that comment cut right to the core of the biggest issue we face in this community, when it comes to getting back on track economically.

Another excellent point was made that we have lost the Old Timey paternalism, where business leaders used to take care of the community and their employees. Local industry used to be family owned. During the Depression of the 1930s, this area weathered the storm better than others, because business owners took care of the community and invested in the community. It is my personal perception that this is true. I was taught an abbreviation a few years ago, TFB; which stands for Trust Fund Baby. These are people who inherited property, assets, and income associated with people who owned major companies. Many of these TFBs of late haven't seen any worth in investing in this community and many of them have left town and cut all ties with the area. Many of the abandoned buildings in the area are associated with TFBs who have an out of sight, out of mind attitude towards their financial interests/obligations towards this community.

There was a summation that some of our economic woes are self perpetuating. We dug ourselves into an economic hole and it's hard not to keep digging sometimes. If we were more positive that things will get better. I look at some of the current marketing initiatives that have so far failed to gain traction. I will be told that they need more time. I'm looking at traction and momentum and there currently is none. I talked with a friend about what this marketing campaign is all about. It is about instilling confidence. But, the people behind this campaign have to be very careful, because those who push confidence without substance (delivering goals/accountability) are eventually looked upon as confidence men -- ie Con Men -- and this leads to a loss of trust and hampers any such efforts in the future. We have to demand tangibility and accountability.

I think I have proven myself to be a patient man and I am patient about all of these initiatives, but we need some definable goals. Some of the statistics I hear cited are based upon government numbers that we know are cooked. The real unemployment rate is not 8.1% nationally or 10.5% here in Catawba County. The real numbers are much higher than that. I can speak of people I know who are late fiftyish to sixty-something and could work, but are unemployed, as in not earning income from employment and they are not counted in these stats. Or what about sole-proprietors whose businesses are no longer viable. There are a lot of folks out there like this or caught in the crossfire in some other manner.

People say things aren't that bad. In the Great Depression there were soup lines and people were starving. The modern day soup kitchen is the WIC food program (Food Stamps). If this program weren't there, and I am not an advocate per se, but these people would be forming the soup kitchen line or starving.

Here is a look at the civil labor force here in Catawba County - http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/NCCATA5LFN?cid=29272




The statistics above do not show progress in employment. Since 2009, the civilian labor force has actually dropped by over 3,000 people. That is 3,000 people that aren't working. In February 2001, the labor force was 82,245 people in Catawba County. Now it is 73,250. That is the lowest number since May 1991 (although the numbers were similar all the way up until 1994).

I just go by the numbers. I do gain value in what these guys say. I get the perspective of people who live inside the box. I told Harry, who was present at this meeting, that I got the feeling that most of that discussion was "Inside the Box" talk and wondered why they were still looking to the box to solve the problems we face. Harry said it is because they own the box. That was a simple, but enlightening, comment. The problem that we face here in Hickory and Catawba County is that the decision makers have a vested interest in protecting the current system (the box) that brought them to power and continues to empower them.

It reminds me of a meeting a year and a half ago where a participant stated that he liked Hickory as it is. Yeah, we have some problems, but it's coming back. We just need to tweak a few things. Hickory was great back in the 1960s. We just need to get back to that. That is pretty much the gyst of what a lot of our older citizens in the community believe. Now, think about being African-American or Hispanic and some semi-retired business owner on cruise control is telling you that we just need to go back to the 1960s or even 1950s. That would scare me to death, wouldn't it you?

No, I believe that we need to move towards the modern realities of the 21st century. I have heard talk about helping and protecting existing local businesses. I hope to god we aren't talking about a bailout for these folks. If directing capital towards existing businesses were the answer, then we wouldn't be in the shape that we are in today. What we need to do is work towards starting new businesses and industries in our area. I'm not saying that we should abandon existing business, but I don't see where we get by funneling resources their way, when I haven't seen any accountability mechanisms built into these processes yet.

You know these businessmen, that were at this meeting and others like this, are looked at as being stakeholders and so their thoughts are brought to the front of the table, but as someone pointed out, look at the lack of diversity in that room and look at the age. I think that it will take a generation to fully fix the current and near term issues we face. In a generation, I will be 65 years old and many of the people in that room will be upwards of 80 years old. All of these instituted policies are going to affect people who are kids today. We need to think about their interests and not our own. They are the true stakeholders of these initiatives, aren't they?

Maybe I'm wrong. It is just my personal perspective, but it seems that much of the leadership in our community are stuck with mindsets cemented in the realities of today and this contorts their vision of what is headed our way in the future. We need to think about what the pertinent issues are going to be down the road and create objectives and figure out endeavors to address the issues we face 5, 10, 20 years down the road.  If we do this, we can get ahead of the curve and wholly profit by doing so.

I do believe that we can get back on the road to growth, sooner rather than later, but we have dug a deep hole and it is going to take time to get back to prosperity. People are seeing their resources dwindle and they don't like it. Most people are looking towards stop gap measures, not real growth. I just don't see substantial growth happening in the short term... would be awesome, but it isn't realistic. If there are short term fixes, then by all means let's do it; but in the end, we need to fix the systemic issues that we face and you and I know that is a long haul. But, what is certain is that we have to have a community wide effort to move forward and the sooner, the better.